Florida State University's (FSU) performance metrics paint a more nuanced picture than their win-loss record suggests. While their record stands at 4-4, a closer examination reveals a team with both strengths and weaknesses. FSU's success against non-Power 4 (P4) opponents is notable, with an average of over 10 yards per play, indicating a strong offensive performance. However, when pitted against P4 teams, their record drops to 2-4, suggesting a more challenging path to victory. This discrepancy highlights the importance of considering advanced metrics to gain a comprehensive understanding of FSU's capabilities.
One key metric is Yards Per Play (YPP), which FSU excels in, ranking in the top 20 among P4 teams. This statistic, however, is just the tip of the iceberg. FSU's defense also shines, with a YPP Allowed ranking in the top 15, showcasing their ability to limit opponents' gains. Yet, the story doesn't end there. FSU's Expected Points Added (EPA) per game is a more comprehensive measure, indicating their efficiency in creating scoring opportunities. With an EPA of 8.76, FSU ranks 18th, placing them in the upper-middle tier of P4 teams.
The analysis becomes even more intriguing when considering the defensive EPA, which stands at -0.27, indicating a slight disadvantage in preventing scoring chances. Despite this, FSU's overall performance in EPA suggests they are a competitive team, especially when compared to other P4 programs. The FEI metric further supports this, ranking FSU 26th nationally, although it includes G6 teams.
In summary, FSU's advanced metrics reveal a team that is above average but not elite. Their performance against P4 opponents is a concern, with a poor record of 2-4. However, their overall EPA and YPP statistics paint a more optimistic picture, placing them in the 'above average-good' range. This nuanced understanding of FSU's capabilities is essential for fans, coaches, and analysts alike, as it provides a more accurate assessment of the team's potential and areas for improvement.
